Published on: 2023-08-30
German wages rose at a record annual pace of 6.6% in the second quarter, fuelling concerns that euro zone inflation will stay high due to rising labour costs.
That marks the biggest annual increase ever recorded which exceeded the country’s consumer price growth rate over the same period for the first time since 2021.
While rising wage may strengthen consumer spending in favour of the economy, it puts the ECB under greater strain to tighten its monetary policy next month.
Nevertheless some factors behind the jump were erratic, such as increases in the minimum wage and one-off bonuses. It is now too early to tell a wage-price spiral is shaping up.
Additionally, the GfK said that German consumer confidence index fell from -24.6 to -25.5 this month, firmly below positive pre-pandemic levels.
Lending to firms in the euro zone expanded by 2.2% year-on-year in July, down from 3.0% a month earlier, according to an ECB report. The odds of a contraction in the bloc this quarter is growing.
The EURO STOXX 50 notched largest gain in a month, up six of the past seven trading days. Technical indicators are flashing bullish signals but we need improving economic data to drive a sustainable rally.
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