Published on: 2025-10-08
The dollar rose to its strongest levels in six weeks on Wednesday as risks around the US government shutdown intensified. Meanwhile, the euro dropped on France's political impasse.
Lawmakers in the lower house forced the resignation of both the previous premiers over budget plans, and were preparing to do the same to the incumbent Lecornu as soon as this week.
That means the government will struggle to meet the deadline to file a budget by 13 October, pushing the country's yield premium to the highest since early January over German 10-year debt.
Macron now faces the unenviable task of deciding what to do next with no option likely to be pleasant – choose another struggling prime minister or hold new parliamentary elections.
Deutsche Bank on Monday said that if the government collapsed, as it has now, then France would likely be "maintaining spending near the 2025 framework, with the deficit landing around 5.0–5.4 % of GDP."
France's manufacturing sector contracted in September, with output and new orders declining sharply amid rising political uncertainty. Service activity sank deeper into contraction territory.
The single currency which shows the head and shoulders pattern has dipped below 50 SMA, but the low of 1.1608 hit in early September is expected to lend support.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
World's Best Broker
EBC Financial Group is a co-brand shared by a group of entities
including:
EBC Financial Group (SVG) LLC is authorized by the St.Vincent and the
Grenadines Financial Services Authority(SVGFSA),and the company
registration number is 353 LLC 2020, with registered address at Euro
House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the
Grenadines.
Other Relevant Entities
EBC Financial Group (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the
Financial Conduct Authority. Reference Number: 927552. Website: www.ebcfin.co.uk
EBC Financial Group (Cayman) Limited is licensed and regulated by the
Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (Number: 2038223). Website:
www.ebcgroup.ky
EBC Financial (MU) Limited is licensed and regulated by the the
Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (License Number GB24203273)
with registrated address at 3rd Floor, Standard Chartered Tower,
Cybercity, Ebene, 72201, Republic of Mauritius. Website for this entity
is maintained separately.
EBC Financial Group (Comoros) Limited is authorised by The Autonomous
Island of Anjouan, Union of Comoros Offshore Finance Authority with
License number L 15637/EFGC, with registered office address at Hamchako,
Mutsamudu, Autonomous Island of Anjouan, Union of Comoros.
EBC Financial Group (Australia) Pty Ltd (ACN: 619 073 237) is authorised
and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission
(Number: 500991). EBC Financial Group (Australia) Pty Ltd is a related
entity of EBC Financial Group (SVG) LLC. The two entities are managed
separately. The financial products and services offered on this website
are NOT provided by the Australian entity and no recourse against the
Australian entity is available.
EBC Group (Cyprus) Ltd, faciliates payment services to the licensed and
regulated entities within the EBC Financial Group strucutre, registered
under the Companies Law of Republic of Cyprus with the number HE 449205,
registered office address at 101 Gladstonos, Agathangelou Business
Centre, 3032 Limassol, Cyprus.
Business Address: The Leadenhall Building, 122 Leadenhall Street, London, United Kingdom, EC3V 4AB. Email Address :cs@ebc.com . Telephone : +44 20 3376 9662
Regional Restrictions:
EBC does not offer any services to citizens and residents of certain
jurisdictions including: Afghanistan, Belarus, Burma (Myanmar), Canada,
Central African Republic, Congo, Cuba, Democratic Republic of the Congo,
Eritrea, Haiti, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Mali, North Korea
(Democratic People's Republic of Korea), Russia, Somalia, Sudan, South
Sudan, Syria, Ukraine (including Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk Regions),
the United States, Venezuela, and Yemen.
Any Spanish on this website is for LATAM only and is not designated for
anyone in European Union or Spain For more information, please check out
our FAQs.
Any Portuguese on this website is for Africa only, and is not designated
for anyone in European Union or Portugal or Brazil. For more
information, please check out our FAQs.
Compliance Disclosure：The website can be accessed globally and is not specific to any entity. Your actual rights and obligations will be determined based on the entity and jurisdiction that you choose to be regulated.There may be local laws and regulations which prohibit or limit your rights to access, download, distribute, disseminate, share or otherwise use any or all of the documents and information published on this website.
Risk Warning: Trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Trade on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade Forex and CFDs, you should carefully consider your trading objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial trading capital. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before making any investment decision. Please read the relevant risk disclosure statements carefully before trading.
